Day 111 - Another Profitable Week, But I Need to Trust the System

November 13th, 2026

A Roller Coaster of a Week

Well, Day 111. We need to talk about days like this.

What a roller coaster this week has been. I could have made another $600–$700 today if I had just followed my rules. Instead, I let fear get in the way again, and honestly, I’m pretty frustrated with myself.

But here’s the thing. Yesterday, I should have lost around $500–$600 if I had followed the system. Today, I should have made that money back and then some. So in the grand scheme of things, it all kind of balanced out.

I still finished the week up around $1,000, which is roughly where I should have been anyway.

Day 111 Travel Poster

The Trades I Should Have Taken

The first trade came at 8:35 AM, and I actually took it. It worked out perfectly, hitting my 48-point target with another 5 points on the runner.

Then came the next opportunity.

I knew it was coming. I saw the setup developing, and everything was there. But the potential drawdown scared me. We were talking about an 80-point move against the position, roughly $160 per contract.

And once again, I hesitated.

The trade eventually hit its 61-point profit target, and the runner continued another 240–253 points. Exactly the kind of move my system is designed to capture.

And I missed it.

I was kicking myself watching that happen. Not because I couldn’t predict the move, but because I didn’t need to predict anything. I just needed to follow my rules.

Stop Trying to Predict the Market

This is probably my biggest lesson from today.

I need to stop guessing when the market is going to reverse.

I don’t know what’s going to happen next. Nobody does. That’s the entire reason I developed a strategy with specific entries, targets, and stop losses.

Yet when I see a little drawdown, I start questioning everything. Is it going to reverse? Is this trade going to fail? Am I about to lose money?

And suddenly, I’m making decisions based on fear instead of statistics.

The frustrating part is that I know better. I’ve backtested this system. I’ve seen what it can do. I need to trust the process instead of trying to outsmart it.

Two Profitable Weeks in a Row

Despite everything, I need to give myself some credit.

I’ve now had two very profitable weeks in a row. This week alone, I finished up around $1,000, even with a few missed opportunities and some emotional decisions.

That’s not something to be disappointed about.

And honestly, I only missed a couple of trades this week. It’s not like I completely abandoned the system. I just need to improve my consistency, especially on those trades where the drawdown looks intimidating.

The bigger concern isn’t this week. It’s what happens during a losing week if I keep skipping valid setups. I can’t expect to capture the full statistical advantage of my system if I’m only taking the trades that feel comfortable.