November 12th, 2026
A Week of Extreme Volatility
This week has been a roller coaster. Huge swings, big winners, and big losers. While volatility creates opportunities, these are not necessarily the trading conditions I prefer.
The five-minute candles have been enormous, with some moving 140–150 points. When price moves that aggressively, the potential drawdowns can quickly reach $400–$500 or more. Even a valid setup can turn into a significant loss within minutes.
And today, technically speaking, my strategy didn’t work.
The Trades I Took
My first trade came at 7:00 AM, and I managed to secure approximately 12 points per contract. Nothing spectacular, but a positive start.
At 8:40 AM, I entered another trade and exited when price touched the second VWAP standard deviation band (2σ).
The next opportunity appeared around 9:00 AM. Price was moving higher near the first VWAP band (1σ), and the conditions appeared to support another entry. According to my rules, I probably should have taken it.
But what happened next demonstrated just how dangerous these conditions could be.
Price reversed and eventually crossed the 20 EMA, producing a roughly 147-point adverse move per contract. Had I taken that trade, the loss would have effectively ended my trading day.
Choosing Not to Force It
After that, I decided not to trade anymore.
Looking back, I believe that was a reasonable decision. The market continued producing difficult price action, and additional trades could have resulted in further losses.
I’ve said this before: Just because the market is moving doesn’t mean the opportunity is worth taking.
There is a difference between a market offering opportunities and a market offering favorable trading conditions.
The Bigger Lesson
This week has been full of extremes. I’ve experienced strong winning days and frustrating losing days, sometimes back-to-back.
Today reminded me that my strategy won’t perform perfectly in every market environment. Some days will simply be difficult, regardless of how disciplined I am.
I’m glad I didn’t force additional trades just because the market was moving. At the same time, I need to be careful not to confuse avoiding a loss with following my system.
The goal isn’t to avoid every losing trade. It’s to follow a proven process, respect my risk limits, and recognize when conditions genuinely justify sitting out.
Day 110 wasn’t a spectacular day, but it was another valuable lesson in managing risk and accepting that not every trading session will go my way.
Total Profit: $78.10

